Retail is the whole consumer-spending universe, $35 trillion in 2025. Online is 1 channel inside it, 1 dollar in 5. The analysts cannot even agree on the 2030 total, $36 trillion to $51 trillion, because each counts retail differently. So I make no call on the total. I make the call on the mix: by 2030 retail stops being a place.
Read the full predictionMarketing, Media, Advertising, and MarTechE-commerce is the online channel inside retail: $6.9 trillion in 2025, 1 dollar in 5. Consensus: $9 to $10 trillion by 2030, still barely 1 in 4 of retail. Big number, slow share. Wrong story. The real shift is not online versus offline. It is website versus everywhere.
Read the full predictionMarketing, Media, Advertising, and MarTech$6.8 trillion in 2024, up 7.9% in a year, and 6.1% of world GDP, growing faster than the world economy every year since 2013. The analysts say $9.8 trillion by 2029. My call: $12 trillion by 2030. That figure counts beauty. Strip it out and 10 sectors still outgrow the world economy.
Read the full predictionHealth, Food, Longevity, and WellnessIgor Beuker's PAR stands at 84%, against Morgan Stanley near 46% and the king of futurism, Ray Kurzweil, at 86%. This is not a leaderboard chase. It is a challenge to an industry that hides its track record. When a Wall Street desk misses more than half its calls, the case for independent, measured forecasting writes itself.
Go deeper on the method in the Secret Vault.Forecasting, PAR, and IndependenceExponential technologies break business plans because humans plan in straight lines while technology moves on a curve. That gap builds fortunes and buries empires. Igor Beuker argues most failures are not stupidity. They are linear minds underestimating exponential speed. The curve does not care about your roadmap. Read it early, and disruption becomes your tailwind instead of your obituary.
Learn to read the curve in Math Man Magazine.Forecasting, PAR, and IndependenceCopper, uranium, lithium, graphite, rare earths, silver, nickel, gold, titanium, and water. Every missile, chip, data center, humanoid, rocket, power grid, solar panel, and electric car needs them.
Read the full predictionMoney, Payments, Crypto, and Raw MaterialsYes, under exponential demand. EVs, AI, crypto and robotics all fight over the same socket, and we are plugging them into a 20th-century grid. The bottleneck is no longer code. It is megawatts, water and permits.
Read the full predictionEnergy, Power Grids, EVs, and Mobility142,000 millionaires moved countries in 2025, the largest wealth migration ever measured. Henley forecasts 165,000 for 2026. I forecast 200,000 a year by 2028 and 250,000 a year by 2030: 1.1 million millionaires out of the West by 2030, taking $3 trillion with them, more than the GDP of Italy walking East.
Read the full predictionMoney, Payments, Crypto, and Raw Materials